{"id":16094,"date":"2020-05-04T20:47:53","date_gmt":"2020-05-04T20:47:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vegaintro-projekti.com\/pilar-stari\/?p=16094"},"modified":"2020-05-04T20:50:21","modified_gmt":"2020-05-04T20:50:21","slug":"dr-sc-nenad-pokos-i-dr-sc-drazen-zivic-o-demografskim-problemima-u-korona-krizi-2-5-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vegaintro-projekti.com\/pilar-stari\/2020\/05\/dr-sc-nenad-pokos-i-dr-sc-drazen-zivic-o-demografskim-problemima-u-korona-krizi-2-5-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Dr. sc. Nenad Pokos i dr. sc. Dra\u017een \u017divi\u0107 o demografskim problemima u korona krizi, 2. 5. 2020."},"content":{"rendered":"

Ve\u010dernji list u broju od 2. svibnja 2020. objavljuje prilog pod naslovom “Baby boom nam se tijekom karantene ne\u0107e dogoditi, demografi obja\u0161njavaju za\u0161to” s komentarima dr. sc. Nenada Pokosa i dr. sc. Dra\u017eena \u017divi\u0107a.<\/strong> \u2212 Ve\u010dernji list<\/a><\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"\"\"<\/p>\n

– Ve\u010dernji list:<\/strong> Baby boom nam se tijekom karantene ne\u0107e dogoditi, demografi obja\u0161njavaju za\u0161to, 2. 5. 2020.<\/a><\/p>\n

Dr. sc. Dra\u017een \u017divi\u0107<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2013 Ova kriza je prilika da se shvati da su ljudi najva\u017eniji faktor jer kakva god kriza bila, ljudi su ti koji vas izvla\u010de iz nje. Epidemija korone pokazala je da je najosjetljivije starije stanovni\u0161tvo i ako ne obnavljamo populaciju, svaka \u0107e nam sljede\u0107a kriza, bila to pandemija ili ne\u0161to drugo, donijeti ve\u0107u opasnost. Imat \u0107emo i odre\u0111eni povratak iseljenika zbog krize, ali to mo\u017ee biti zamka da se ka\u017ee: \u201cEvo, sad smo vratili ljude i nema iseljavanja\u201d, no treba paziti da ljudi ponovno ne odu zbog istih razloga zbog kojih su odlazili posljednjih godina. Ako istra\u017eivanja o motivima odlaska pokazuju da su na iseljavanje utjecali ekonomski razlozi i oni na tr\u017ei\u0161tu rada, te na\u0161a gospodarska situacija, ali i politi\u010dka s besplodnim podjelama, to se ne smije sada zanemariti. Kriza nam je pokazala da prije svega moramo biti samoodr\u017eivi i da se sve zatvori oko nas moramo biti u stanju proizvesti dovoljno hrane i drugih nu\u017enih proizvoda da pre\u017eivimo bar neko vrijeme. Koncept razvoja Hrvatske se mora mijenjati, mi \u0107emo sad imati pad BDP-a od 9 posto zato \u0161to \u0107e nam turizam iz objektivnih razloga podbaciti, a druge djelatnosti nam nisu razvijene.<\/p>\n

Dr. sc. Nenad Pokos<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2013 \u010cesto se zaboravlja da se baby boom javlja pri gospodarskom rastu, a ne u nesigurnim i tjeskobnim situacijama. Za ekonomskih kriza fertilitet naglo pada te zbog financijske nesigurnosti ljudi odga\u0111aju odluku o zasnivanju obitelji. Tako je i zbog globalne krize 2008. godine broj ro\u0111enih u Hrvatskoj izme\u0111u 2009. i 2013. smanjen oko 10 posto. Budu\u0107i da \u0107e ova kriza, po predvi\u0111anjima, biti mnogo te\u017ea, to \u0107e obeshrabriti mnoge parove da imaju djecu, pogotovo one koji ve\u0107 imaju potomstvo. U dob izme\u0111u 25 i 35 godina \u017eivota ulaze sve malobrojnije generacije, pa za nekoliko godina mo\u017eemo o\u010dekivati znatno manje ro\u0111enih nego prethodnih godina. Naime, u navedenoj dobi ra\u0111a vi\u0161e od 60 posto \u017eena u Hrvatskoj, a te generacije na svijet su do\u0161le u razdoblju znatnog smanjenja nataliteta po\u010detkom 1990-ih te su dodatno oklja\u0161trene masovnim iseljavanjem posljednjih godina. Idu\u0107ih mjeseci mo\u017ee se o\u010dekivati porast broja razvoda jer istra\u017eivanja pokazuju da se najvi\u0161e zahtjeva za razvod braka podnosi nakon novogodi\u0161njih praznika i godi\u0161njih odmora. Najnoviji podaci iz Kine kazuju da su zbog pandemije mnogi parovi bili vezani jedan za drugog kod ku\u0107e \u0161to stvara okru\u017eenje za bra\u010dnu sva\u0111u. U toj dr\u017eavi nakon normalizacije \u017eivota i otvaranja sudskih ureda do\u0161lo je do vala odgo\u0111enih zahtjeva za razvod braka.<\/p>\n

Dr. sc. Dra\u017een \u017divi\u0107<\/a><\/p>\n

Dr. sc. Nenad Pokos<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ve\u010dernji list u broju od 2. svibnja 2020. objavljuje prilog pod naslovom “Baby boom nam se tijekom karantene ne\u0107e dogoditi, demografi obja\u0161njavaju za\u0161to” s komentarima dr. sc. Nenada Pokosa i dr. sc. Dra\u017eena \u017divi\u0107a. \u2212 Ve\u010dernji list – Ve\u010dernji list: Baby boom nam se tijekom karantene ne\u0107e dogoditi, demografi obja\u0161njavaju za\u0161to, 2. 5. 2020. Dr.… Pro\u010ditaj vi\u0161e o Dr. sc. Nenad Pokos i dr. sc. Dra\u017een \u017divi\u0107 o demografskim problemima u korona krizi, 2. 5. 2020.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":16091,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,12],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nDr. sc. Nenad Pokos i dr. sc. 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