{"id":28467,"date":"2024-01-15T20:20:25","date_gmt":"2024-01-15T20:20:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vegaintro-projekti.com\/pilar-stari\/?p=28467"},"modified":"2024-01-15T22:06:31","modified_gmt":"2024-01-15T22:06:31","slug":"dr-sc-ivo-turk-hrvatska-bastinik-lose-demografske-politike-9-1-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vegaintro-projekti.com\/pilar-stari\/2024\/01\/dr-sc-ivo-turk-hrvatska-bastinik-lose-demografske-politike-9-1-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Dr. sc. Ivo Turk: Hrvatska ba\u0161tinik lo\u0161e demografske politike, 9. 1. 2024."},"content":{"rendered":"

Dr. sc. Ivo Turk gostovao je 9. sije\u010dnja 2024. u emisiji Hrvatske televizije “Studio 4” u kojoj je kazao “kako su demografski procesi dugotrajni te da se ne mo\u017ee sve svesti na jednu vlast jer kod nas ovakvi procesi traju od 60-ih godina pro\u0161log stolje\u0107a”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"i1\"<\/a><\/div>\n

 <\/p>\n

– Portal HRT:<\/strong> Turk: Hrvatska ba\u0161tinik lo\u0161e demografske politike, 9. 1. 2024.<\/a><\/p>\n

Stopa fertiliteta u Hrvatskoj je posljednji put bila vi\u0161a od 2 djeteta po \u017eeni prije 56 godina, odnosno 1967. godine i od tada se kontinuirano smanjuje. Danas je ona pala na 1,45, dok je prosjek u Europi 1,48, a u Europskoj uniji 1,53.<\/em><\/p>\n

– Demografi u Hrvatskoj ve\u0107 70-ih godina po\u010deli su pisati da \u0107e nam se ovakva situacija dogoditi, ali malo tko ih je slu\u0161ao. Mi smo ba\u0161tinici lo\u0161e demografske politike dugi niz godina, istaknuo je.<\/p>\n

Na pitanje \u0161to bi se trebalo u\u010diniti da se zaustavi negativni trend, Turk smatra kako bi primarno bilo dobro vratiti iseljenike u Hrvatsku. No, kako ka\u017ee, to je iluzorno jer svi koji odu – rijetko se vra\u0107aju.<\/p>\n

– U Hrvatskoj treba prije svega pobolj\u0161ati ekonomsku i dru\u0161tvenu situaciju koje su trenutno nestimulativne za mlade te upravo zato odlaze, naglasio je.<\/p>\n

Dodaje kako je Europa \u201enajstariji\u201d kontinent i ima stopu fertiliteta ispod 2,1, a to je stopa koja omogu\u0107ava obnovu stanovni\u0161tva.<\/p>\n

– Zapadna Europa ima bolje demografske pokazatelje od isto\u010dne Europe, rekao je Turk.<\/p>\n

Smatra da \u0107e za 5-10 godina natalitet u Hrvatskoj i dalje biti nizak, a staro stanovni\u0161tvo \u0107e po\u010deti odumirati.<\/p>\n

– Mi smo u prirodnoj depopulaciji od 1991. godine. \u0160to zna\u010di da od tada do danas Hrvatska bilje\u017ei vi\u0161e umrlih nego ro\u0111enih, \u0161to \u0107e se nastaviti. Vjerojatno \u0107e se po\u010deti useljavati stranci, a Hrvati i dalje iseljavati. Supstitucija stanovni\u0161tva se polako doga\u0111a, nagla\u0161ava.<\/p>\n

Dodaje kako je na\u0161a tragedija \u0161to gubimo obrazovano stanovni\u0161tvo. Kako ka\u017ee, Hrvatska puno ula\u017ee u obrazovanje gra\u0111ana, a oni odlaze iz zemlje.<\/p>\n

\u0160to starije dru\u0161tvo, to vi\u0161e problema<\/strong><\/p>\n

Turk isti\u010de kako je Hrvatska jedno od \u201enajstarijih\u201d dru\u0161tava u Europi i to sa sobom nosi niz problema.<\/p>\n

– Staro stanovni\u0161tvo treba pove\u0107anu medicinsku skrb jer vi\u0161e obolijeva, veliki izdaci su za mirovine \u0161to se izdvaja iz dr\u017eavnog prora\u010duna te se postavlja pitanje kako ga puniti. Mi imamo indeks starenja 156,2, \u0161to zna\u010di da na 100 mladih stanovnika, u dobi od 0-19 godina, ide 156 onih koji su stariji od 60 godina, govori.<\/p>\n

Nagla\u0161ava kako se u takvim zemljama ne mo\u017ee o\u010dekivati ekonomski razvitak.<\/p>\n

– Stra\u0161no je kada vidimo zadnji popis stanovni\u0161tva koji govori kako nas ima, nikada manje, ispod 4 milijuna.<\/p>\n

– Demografska problematika je strate\u0161ka problematika Hrvatske i to bi trebalo biti iznad politike i glede tog pitanja trebao bi postojati konsenzus svih stranaka, istaknuo je.<\/p>\n

Turk smatra kako gradovi na\u010delno imaju bolje demografske podatke od ruralnih prostora. Smatra da je hrvatski ruralni prostor demografski uni\u0161ten, a to se ponajvi\u0161e odnosi na isto\u010dnu Hrvatsku, gorsku Hrvatsku.<\/p>\n

Cijelo gostovanje mo\u017ee se pogledati na poveznici:<\/strong><\/p>\n

– https:\/\/vijesti.hrt.hr\/hrvatska\/turk-hrvatska-bastinik-lose-demografske-politike-ima-nas-sve-manje-11273809<\/a><\/p>\n

Dr. sc. Ivo Turk<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dr. sc. Ivo Turk gostovao je 9. sije\u010dnja 2024. u emisiji Hrvatske televizije “Studio 4” u kojoj je kazao “kako su demografski procesi dugotrajni te da se ne mo\u017ee sve svesti na jednu vlast jer kod nas ovakvi procesi traju od 60-ih godina pro\u0161log stolje\u0107a”   – Portal HRT: Turk: Hrvatska ba\u0161tinik lo\u0161e demografske politike,… Pro\u010ditaj vi\u0161e o Dr. sc. Ivo Turk: Hrvatska ba\u0161tinik lo\u0161e demografske politike, 9. 1. 2024.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":28464,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[48,12],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nDr. sc. 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